South Asian Journal of Social Studies and Economics

This study aims to assess the need for, and to formulate a planning strategy for, the development of a passenger terminal in Doloksanggul, Humbang Hasundutan Regency, as an instrument to improve connectivity and support local economic development. The analysis focuses on (i) the physical condition of the proposed site, (ii) projected traffic demand, and (iii) community and driver perceptions of the existing terminal condition. A mixed-method approach was employed, combining qualitative and quantitative techniques. Data were collected through surveys, in-depth interviews, and field observations. Quantitative data were analyzed using a vehicle volume estimation model (Vehicle Kilometers Traveled/VKT) and a terminal demand projection framework, while qualitative data were processed through thematic analysis to capture user and public transport driver perceptions. The findings indicate that a terminal in Doloksanggul is urgently required, given a projected 11.8% increase in vehicle volumes over the next five years. The current “shadow terminal” arrangement is unable to accommodate the growing number of vehicles and passengers. Site feasibility results suggest that the proposed location satisfies accessibility criteria and aligns with the regional spatial plan. The planned terminal is expected to enhance transport service quality and improve traffic circulation in Doloksanggul. Furthermore, a terminal integrated with other transport services may accelerate local economic development and strengthen inter-regional connectivity within North Sumatra. This study contributes to terminal planning in emerging urban areas by providing an evidence-based strategic framework and underlining the importance of intermodal integration to support regional economic growth.